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2024-12-14 11:07:15

Anyway, the news is definitely positive, but they are all long-term positive, and most of them have long been expected. Now we can only say that they are in line with expectations. The above still wants to stimulate the spontaneous trading of the market through expectations, but yesterday, there was no mysterious capital entering the market, and A shares may not be able to break the Black Thursday spell.Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:First of all, personal pension is also a long-term positive, but the short-term stock of funds is limited. With more and more people participating, the scale of funds will expand accordingly, and the high probability will become a big boost for A shares. After all, this batch of funds is difficult to withdraw, and it is also a typical long-term fund.


3. Implement special actions to boost domestic demand. I won't say more. The expectation has already landed, but it depends on implementation. Before, the market had expected to issue special treasury bonds to residents to subsidize consumption. Now consumer stocks are accelerating in the short term, so be careful to cash in the risks.Secondly, the draft of the heavy meeting has landed. Compared with the previous meeting, the general content is basically the same, only a few points exceed expectations. Let's have a brief chat with you:December 13th Morning Post: Heavy landing, be careful to cash in the risks!


1, improve the financial deficit ratio. Proactive fiscal policy,2, the issuance of ultra long-term construction bonds, increase the use of local special bonds. This has always been a good hand at pulling GDP, and it is good for infrastructure and new quality productivity.Therefore, what is lacking at the moment is substantial and beneficial, such as lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. Technically, my judgment remains unchanged, and the nature of the small high point of 3494 points has not changed. Unless it can be broken through in volume, it will need to be adjusted at that time. If it is short-term, continue to wait and see, and don't blindly chase after it.

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